Wireless Smartphone Strategies

The industry’s most comprehensive set of critical market statistics and qualitative analysis, tracking and reporting on smartphones.

January 22, 2015 07:17 PLin

According to our latest report, Global Smartphone Sale Forecast: Operators vs. Retailers -- from our Wireless Smartphone Strategies (WSS) research service -- several hundred million smartphones will flow through "closed" operator channels worldwide during 2015. Operators have traditionally dominated smartphone distribution until 2013, but retailers have surpassed operator channels since 2014 and will grow their share of the industry in the coming years.

This report forecasts global smartphone distribution flows for 6 major regions and 3 key countries from 2007 to 2020, including North America, Western Europe, Latin America, China, Japan and India. The forecasts can be used by smartphone vendors, vehicle makers, apps developers and others to identify the main regional channels where mobile phones are being sold, and whether operators or retailers are winning the distribution wars. The report is available here to clients.


January 5, 2015 14:34 nmawston

Micromax has partnered with Cyanogen -- an Android fork -- to launch its online-only smartphone sub-brand, YU, in India during H1 2015. Micromax is terrified of Xiaomi and the firm is stepping up its efforts to stop the rise of Xiaomi and other rival Chinese vendors. However, the YU program fragments the Android ecosystem and Google will NOT be overjoyed by this latest move from Micromax. More analysis of this emerging challenge for Google can be downloaded by clients here.



December 10, 2014 10:25 PLin

According to the latest report -- “Micromax YU Android-Fork Challenges Xiaomi in India” -- from our Wireless Smartphone Strategies (WSS) research service, Micromax -- India’s second largest smartphone vendor -- has partnered with Cyanogen -- an Android fork -- to launch commercially a new online-only smartphone sub-brand – YU -- in India during December 2014.

Micromax is terrified of Xiaomi and the firm is stepping up its efforts to stop the rise of Xiaomi and other rival Chinese vendors. By targeting first the online distribution channel, Micromax YU is entering a fast-growing sector. However, the YU program fragments the Android ecosystem and Google will not be overjoyed by this latest move from Micromax.

As an early-mover with an Android fork, will YU be a game-changer in India? For clients, there is more analysis available here.


October 31, 2014 12:13 nmawston

According to the latest report from our WSS (Smartphones) research service, global smartphone shipments reached 320 million units in the third quarter of 2014. The Android operating system captured a dominant 84 percent global marketshare, squeezing Apple iOS, Microsoft and Blackberry.

Global smartphone shipments grew 27 percent annually from 252.9 million units in Q3 2013 to 320.4 million in Q3 2014. Smartphone growth continues to be driven by robust demand in emerging markets, particularly Asia and Africa Middle East.

Android’s domination of global smartphone shipments remained strong in Q3 2014, with an impressive 84 percent of all smartphones now running Google’s OS. Android’s gain came at the expense of every major rival platform. BlackBerry’s global smartphone share has stayed flat at 1 percent in the past year, due to a lackluster range of BB10 devices. Apple iOS lost one point of share to Android because of its limited presence at the lower end of the smartphone market. Microsoft Windows Phone continued to struggle in China and Japan, and its global smartphone marketshare fell from 4 percent in Q3 2013 to 3 percent during Q3 2014.

 

Android’s leadership of the global smartphone market looks unbeatable at the moment. Its low-cost services and user-friendly software remain attractive to hardware makers, operators and consumers worldwide. However, challenges are emerging for Google. The Android platform is getting overcrowded with hundreds of hardware brands, Android smartphone prices are falling worldwide, and few Android device vendors make profits.



Exhibit 1: Global Smartphone OS Shipments and Market Share in Q3 2014 
[1]

Global Smartphone Operating System Shipments (Millions of Units)

Q3 '13

Q3 '14

Android

205.9

268.0

Apple iOS

33.8

39.3

Microsoft

10.3

10.5

BlackBerry

2.5

2.3

Others

0.4

0.3

Total

252.9

320.4

     

Global Smartphone Operating System Marketshare  %

Q3 '13

Q3 '14

Android

81.4%

83.6%

Apple iOS

13.4%

12.3%

Microsoft

4.1%

3.3%

BlackBerry

1.0%

0.7%

Others

0.2%

0.1%

Total

100.0%

100.0%

     

Total Growth Year-over-Year  %

46.4%

26.7%

     

Source: Strategy Analytics

   

 

 


[1]  Numbers are rounded.


September 20, 2014 06:20 lsui

According to the latest report from our Wireless Smartphone Strategies (WSS) service: Global Smartphone Sales Forecast for 88 Countries : 2007 to 2020, global smartphone sales will grow +13% in 2015, offseting the slowdown in feature phones.

Asia Pacific will remain the growth driver, accounting for half of global volumes in 2015. China and US will remain the largest smartphone sales countries through 2015. India will surpass the US to become the 2nd larget market by 2019. Central Latin America and Africa Middle East will see strong smartphone growth through 2020 and play a role as a new growth engine for the global market.

The world's top 20 countries will account for 8 in 10 of global smartphone volumes in 2015.


July 17, 2014 18:25 nmawston

According to our WSS (Smartphones) research service, BlackBerry smartphone shipments fell sharply worldwide during Q2 2014. The Canadian vendor continued to struggle in all regions worldwide. However, cost-cutting and inventory destocking helped BlackBerry to trim its financial losses to the lowest level for over a year. A partnership with Amazon Appstore also improved its services portfolio and there are tentative signs that BlackBerry may finally stabilize in the second half of this year.


June 10, 2014 15:50 lsui

At the breakout session today -- in ZTE's annual analyst event in China -- the keywords are online channel and voice interaction.

Like many other Chinese vendors, ZTE has emphasized the critical role that online distribution channels play in branding equity enhancement. For instance, all of its three 4G models recently launched focus on online channels by working with big Chinese e-tailers, such as JD and T-Mall. ZTE targets that 20% of total smartphone sales this year will go via the online channel. Interestingly, offline and online is not completely exclusive. In contrast, as we have seen from Xiaomi, ZTE also tries to leverage online resources to do branding, and blur the boundary between the two to bring more online models to offline channels to generate volumes. For example, it plans to open up over hundreds of Nubia physical stores this year to enhance the penetration into offline channels.

ZTE showcased more voice-recognition usages today, such as voice-print unlocking, voice navigation, etc. ZTE claims the voice-recognition rate has improved to over 90% with its own technology by working with Nuance and other technical partners. Moreover, it will adopt more voice-interaction functions by integrating it with ZTE's own UI-MiFavor 3.0 later this year.  We like the idea very much, but it remains to be seen how users / consumers will embrace it or not -- the industry might need a more influential American player, such as Apple, to make voice-recognition adoption more widely available.

Something missing today from the session was the topic of LTE-Advanced -- it was not really covered. It is also surprising that ZTE confirmed they will adopt their own chipset mainly in modem products -- rather than their own smartphones -- in the short term, making us suspect it might still need time to improve and optimize the chipset products for cellphones.


May 27, 2014 15:25 nmawston

According to recent research from our WSS (Smartphones) analysis service, some 231 million Android smartphones were shipped worldwide in Q1 2014. Samsung remains the clear number one hardware vendor for Google’s platform. However, among the tier-two brands, there is a growing wave of Chinese players picking up marketshare, led by Huawei, Lenovo and Xiaomi. What can other rivals, such as Sony or LG, do about it? Clients can read additional data in this published report.


April 29, 2014 02:50 woh

According to the latest research from our Wireless Smartphone Strategies (WSS) research service, global smartphone shipments grew +33% annually to reach 285 million units in the first quarter of 2014. Leaders Samsung and Apple lost slight traction in the quarter, while Huawei and Lenovo each held five percent marketshare worldwide.

Global smartphone shipments grew 33 percent annually from 213.9 million units in Q1 2013 to 285.0 million in Q1 2014.Smartphone growth was mixed on a regional basis during the quarter, with healthy demand in Asia counterbalanced by sluggish volumes across North America due to changes in the operator subsidy mix.

SAMSUNG shipped 89.0 million smartphones worldwide and captured 31 percent marketshare in Q1 2014, dipping slightly from 32 percent a year earlier. This was Samsung’s first annual marketshare loss in the smartphone category since Q4 2009. Samsung continues to face tough competition from Apple at the higher-end of the smartphone market and from Chinese brands like Huawei at the lower-end.

APPLE grew a below-average 17 percent annually and shipped 43.7 million iPhones worldwide for 15 percent marketshare in Q1 2014, falling from the 17 percent level recorded during Q1 2013. Apple remains strong in the premium smartphone segment, but a lack of presence in the entry-level category continues to cost it lost volumes in fast-growing emerging markets such as Latin America.

The combined global smartphone marketshare of SAMSUNG and APPLE has slipped from 50 percent in Q1 2013 to 47 percent in Q1 2014. There is more competition than ever coming from the second-tier smartphone brands. HUAWEI remained steady with 5 percent global smartphone marketshare in Q1 2014, while LENOVO has increased its global presence from 4 percent to 5 percent share during the past year. Huawei is expanding swiftly in Europe, while Lenovo continues to grow aggressively outside China into new regions such as Russia. If the recent Lenovo takeover of MOTOROLA gets approved by various governments in the coming months, this will eventually create an even larger competitive force that Samsung and Apple must contend with in the second half of this year.

 

Exhibit 1: Global Smartphone Vendor Shipments and Market Share in Q1 2014  [1]

Global Smartphone Vendor Shipments (Millions of Units)

Q1 '13

Q1 '14

Samsung

69.4

89.0

Apple

37.4

43.7

Huawei

10.0

13.4

Lenovo

8.4

13.3

Others

88.7

125.6

Total

213.9

285.0

 

 

 

Global Smartphone Vendor Marketshare  %

Q1 '13

Q1 '14

Samsung

32.4%

31.2%

Apple

17.5%

15.3%

Huawei

4.7%

4.7%

Lenovo

3.9%

4.7%

Others

41.5%

44.1%

Total

100.0%

100.0%

 

 

 

Total Growth Year-over-Year %

39.1%

33.2%

 

 

 

Source: Strategy Analytics

 

 

 

[1] Numbers are rounded.


March 19, 2014 17:26 sbicheno

According to our Wireless Smartphone Strategies (WSS) service, Chinese vendor Oppo is choosing to address the Android smartphone differentiation challenge by attempting to beat its competitors to the most cutting-edge specs. The Find 7, launched today, claims the ability to take 50MP images as its signature USP. The device itself has a 13MP sensor for its main camera, but takes a burst of images and uses software to combine them into a 50MP shot. The ultimate function of such a feature is similar to the post-processing capability enabled by the 41MP sensor in the Nokia Lumia 1020.

Other notable high-end specs in the Find 7 include one of the first QHD (2560 x 1440 pixels) screens in this 5.5-inch phablet and 4K video recording at 30fps. All this is supported by a Qualcomm Snapdragon 801 SoC and quick-charging technology. Oppo has so far offered little further information bar the marketing video below, but our WSS service thinks it’s significant that the latest company to attempt to raise the smartphone spec bar services primarily the Chinese market.


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