The growing availability of LTE smartphones has delivered a significant boost to the technology over the last 6 months and Strategy Analytics has upgraded its forecasts to one billion LTE connections by early 2017. The US, South Korea and Japan are leading the way in 2012, with greater global scale achieved in 2013. By 2017, LTE will generate over one -third of mobile service revenues. Strategy Analytics' report "Worldwide Cellular User Forecast: 2012-2017" provides global forecasts of subscription, technology and revenues, with detail for 82 individual countries.
There will be over 6.6 billion cellular subscriptions worldwide by the end of 2012.
The market continues to slow as a more regions approach levels of saturation. Over 80% of subscriptions added between 2012 and 2017, will come from Asia-Pacific, the Middle East and Africa.
Cellular subscriptions are outpacing unique users by 48%
Worldwide cellular service revenues will increase by 4% in 2012, a slight decline on the 5% growth witnessed in 2011.
(M) 2011 2012 2017
W Europe 556.7 576.0 624.6
CE Europe 537.6 556.3 583.9
N America 363.2 386.5 493.2
CL America 642.3 697.1 841.8
Asia-Pacific 3019.4 3357.7 4453.4
M East & Africa 920.3 1026.8 1462.6
Additional questions answered in this forecast include:
How large will the subscription/user gap be in 2013 and 2017?
What share of users and revenue will be from business in 2012? 2017?
How will usage minutes grow from its 2011 level through 2017?
How significant will TD-LTE be in the next five years?
How will users, subscriptions, postpaid vs prepaid, service revenues, churn rates, traffic and ARPU vary across the 82 countries covered?