Wireless Device Strategies

First to market each quarter with the most accurate and detailed data on handset strategies. The industry’s most timely, consistent and accurate tracking of device vendor KPI metrics, as well as handset market sales and shipment forecasts.

May 28, 2014 11:35 nmawston

According to the latest research from our WDS (Devices) service, mobile phone sales will reach 430 million units and generate revenues of US$87 billion in China during 2014. In contrast, mobile phone sales will stabilize at 163 million units and deliver revenues of just US$60 billion in the United States this year. China will overtake the United States for the first time ever to become the world’s largest mobile phone market by value.

We forecast mobile phone sales to grow 15 percent annually to reach a record 430 million units in China during 2014. Mobile phone trade revenues will surge 53 percent annually to reach a record US$87 billion this year. In contrast, mobile phone sales in the United States will grow zero percent annually, while trade revenues will increase only 4 percent to US$60 billion in 2014. China will finally overtake the United States for the first time this year to become the world’s largest mobile phone market by value.


China’s impressive mobile growth is being driven by the country’s rapid shift to 3G and 4G smartphones. Major brands, such as Samsung, Huawei and Lenovo, are aggressively expanding their distribution channels and product ranges across the region to meet extremely strong demand from Chinese consumers for more advanced mobile phones.


The United States is maturing and has now lost its crown to China as the world’s largest mobile phone market by revenue. However, it is important to remember the US remains by far the mobile industry’s most valuable country by profit. High average selling prices for mobile phones and huge operator subsidies from Sprint and others continue to make the US a very profitable market for major device brands such as Apple, Samsung and Alcatel.

 

Exhibit 1: Mobile Phone Sales and Trade Revenues by Country in 2014  [1]

Mobile Phone Sales (Millions of Units)

2013

2014

China

374.8

429.8

United States

163.3

163.4

 

 

 

Mobile Phone Trade Revenues (US$, Billions)

2013

2014

China

$57.0

$87.2

United States

$57.4

$59.5

 

 

 

Source: Strategy Analytics

 

 

  



[1]  Numbers are rounded. The term "mobile phone" refers to all smartphones plus feature phones combined. Trade revenues are defined as wholesale revenues. The 2014 data are forecast estimates.


May 27, 2014 15:13 nmawston

Our WDS (Devices) research service forecasts mobile phone revenues to grow +13% worldwide during 2014. At the same time, the four BRIC countries combined -- Brazil, Russia, India, and China -- will all grow at rates well above the global average. Led by China, BRIC countries will generate 36% of all global cellphone revenues in 2014. Among the four countries in 2014, China will experience the highest revenue & ASP growth rate, propelled by the decrease in ultra-low tier market and the increase in other higher price range segments.

Our extensive report -- which can be downloaded by clients here -- forecasts BRIC country handset sales volume, wholesale (trade) revenues, and wholesale ASPs across five price-tiers from 2009 to 2020. Additional analysis of the premium, high, mid, entry and ultra-low price-bands is included. The report is a valuable tool for device vendors, operators, component manufacturers, software developers, financial analysts, car makers and other stakeholders who want to measure each country's mobile phone market by value and benchmark their pricing strategies.


May 22, 2014 19:52 lsui

Our Wireless Device Strategies (WDS) service recently published the report: VALUE SHARE : Global Handset Revenue, ASP and Profit in Q1 2014. WDS clients: please click here to access the full report.

Global handset wholesale revenues increased +8% YoY and profits grew +14% annually. Apple and Samsung continued dominating the revenue pool, but Chinese brands Xiaomi, TCL-Alcatel and Huawei jumped into the top 5 most profitable handset vendor list this quarter, with improved operating margins.

Xiaomi is rising quickly, ranking the third most proftiable handset vendor, the sixth largest vendor by revenue, as well as the ninth largest vendor in shipments this quarter.

 

May 18, 2014 13:54 nmawston

According to new research from our WDS (Devices) service, global mobile phone shipments grew a healthy +9% annually in the first quarter of 2014. The LTE segment grew fastest among all cellphone technologies, surging +93% from a year earlier. We expect this uptick in growth will continue for the rest of the year, as China and others parts of the world rollout additional 4G networks. Companies benefitting from the LTE spike include Apple, Samsung, Qualcomm, MediaTek and others. More data and analysis can be viewed by clients here.


May 11, 2014 22:51 nmawston

According to our WDS (Devices) research service, TCL-Alcatel's mobile phone shipments grew an impressive +71% annually worldwide in Q1 2014. The firm's shipments, revenues and profits continue to increase at a healthy clip. TCL-Alcatel is perfrming well in Mexico, Russia and elsewhere. However, the vendor’s best performance was saved for the valuable United States market, where it surged past Motorola to become a top-six mobile phone player for the first time ever in Q1 2014. More data and analysis can be downloaded by clients at this link.


April 29, 2014 15:52 sbicheno

According to the latest research from our Wireless Device Strategies (WDS) research service, global mobile phone shipments grew 9 percent annually to reach 408 million units in the first quarter of 2014. Huawei was the star performer among the top five players, capturing 3 percent share and growing two times faster than the industry average.

Global mobile phone shipments grew 9 percent annually from 372.7 million units in Q1 2013 to 407.9 million in Q1 2014. Smartphones accounted for 7 in 10 of total mobile phone shipments during the quarter. The 9 percent growth rate of the overall mobile phone market is at its highest level since 2011, driven by healthier demand for 4G and 3G models across Asia, Africa and elsewhere.

Samsung grew 6 percent annually and shipped 113.0 million mobile phones worldwide, capturing 28 percent marketshare in Q1 2014. Samsung’s growth rate has slowed recently due to tougher competition from Chinese vendors, but Samsung maintains an impressive product portfolio and it is still shipping more mobile phones worldwide than Apple, LG and Nokia combined. Nokia shipped 47.0 million mobile phones worldwide for 12 percent share in Q1 2014. Nokia continues to face intense competition from Apple and dozens of Android vendors. New owner Microsoft will be looking to Nokia’s upgraded X phone portfolio to stabilize the downturn in the coming months.

Apple shipped 43.7 million iPhones worldwide in Q1 2014, up from 37.4 million a year earlier. Apple has closed the marketshare gap on Nokia to just one point, and Nokia will have to fight hard to stay ahead in the second half of this year. LG had a mixed quarter, capturing 4 percent share of the global mobile phone market. LG is performing well in Europe, but China and India remain major weak spots that the vendor still needs to address.

Other findings from the research include:

  • Huawei shipped 14.2 million mobile phones worldwide for 3 percent marketshare to remain the world’s fifth largest vendor in Q1 2014. The company’s annual growth rate is two times higher than the overall mobile phone industry average. Huawei’s 3G and 4G Android devices are proving relatively popular in Asia and North America;
  • A long tail of second-tier brands continues to build momentum beyond the established top five mobile phone brands. Key emerging challengers in mobile phones worldwide at the moment include TCL-Alcatel, Coolpad, Lenovo, Xiaomi and others. These are important players to monitor.

Global Mobile Phone Vendor Shipments and Market Share in Q1 2014

Global Mobile Phone Vendor Shipments (Millions of Units)

Q1 '13

Q1 '14

Samsung

106.6

113.0

Nokia

61.9

47.0

Apple

37.4

43.7

LG

16.2

16.4

Huawei

11.6

14.2

Others

139.0

173.6

Total

372.7

407.9

 

 

 

Global Mobile Phone Vendor Marketshare  %

Q1 '13

Q1 '14

Samsung

28.6%

27.7%

Nokia

16.6%

11.5%

Apple

10.0%

10.7%

LG

4.3%

4.0%

Huawei

3.1%

3.5%

Others

37.3%

42.6%

Total

100.0%

100.0%

 

 

 

Total Growth Year-over-Year %

-1.4%

9.4%

 

 

 

Source: Strategy Analytics

 

 

 

The full report, Global Mobile Phone Shipments Reach 408 Million Units in Q1 2014, is published by the Strategy Analytics Wireless Device Strategies (WDS) service, details of which can be found here: http://tinyurl.com/ck93xsu.


April 16, 2014 14:36 nmawston

According to a new report from our Wireless Device Strategies (WDS) service, global dual-SIM handset sales will grow a healthy +18% YoY in 2014. Asia, China, India and Africa remain the key markets for popular dual-SIM phones. Nokia, Samsung, Lenovo and Micromax are among major players with high marketshares driving the industry worldwide. Dual-SIM, dual-active (DSDA) models continue to find niche traction in higher-tier segments. Consumers like dual-SIM phones for their flexibility, while carriers dislike them for their churn potential. Our published report, available to clients, contains extensive forecasts for global dual-SIM (multi-SIM) handset sales in 6 major regions and 2 key countries, including China and India, from 2004 to 2020. Qualitative analysis of key vendors and key technologies in this market are included too.


March 18, 2014 23:13 yli

Our Wireless Device Strategies (WDS) service recently published a report : China LTE Phone Sales Will Rocket to 135 Million Units in 2014. In there, we predict China Mobile will concentrate on three-mode and five-mode LTE cellphones this year. China Mobile has since reported a shift back toward five cellular modes (TD-LTE / FD-LTE / WCDMA / TD-SCDMA / GSM) for all customized and procured LTE phones via China Mobile's operator channels from June 2014 onwards. We have confirmed this move with China Mobile.
 
We believe the shift to five-mode phones will slow down LTE handset prices penetrating down below the RMB 600 level this year. However, three-mode (TD-LTE / TD-SCDMA / GSM) LTE handsets will continue to be available via open channels (e.g. Gome), and make up a meaningful portion of open-channel LTE volumes in 2014.
 
The shift will also resolve the roaming issues for end-users and save some R&D costs for device vendors. Qualcomm and Marvell will benefit from the move. Both are among the key LTE chipset suppliers for China's LTE market at this moment. However, local chipset makers, such as Spreadtrum, may face some headwinds from it.
 
Apple and Samsung remain major 4G handset suppliers in China at the moment -- however, we expect leading local players, such as Huawei, ZTE, Coolpad and Lenovo, will play an increasing role in this fast-growing market. Meanwhile, second-tier and third-tier local brands, such as Tianyu, Hisense, Gionee, Vivo, OPPO and Changhong, are likely to be aggressive challengers in the LTE segment later this year and worth keeping an eye on.



February 16, 2014 16:43 yli

According to our Wireless Device Strategies (WDS) service, LTE cellphone sales will surge +547% YoY to reach 135 million units in China during 2014. The market is set to take off. Leading brands across the LTE  phone spectrum in China during 2014 will include China Mobile, Samsung, Lenovo, Qualcomm, MediaTek and others. China will very soon be the world's largest 4G market. More analysis and data can be downloaded by clients here.

 


February 7, 2014 17:04 nmawston

Accoding to our Wireless Device Strategies (WDS) service, Motorola’s global mobile phones shipments dipped slightly in Q4 2013. New models, like the Moto X and G, were introduced with much hype. However, the highlight of the quarter was Lenovo’s purchase of Motorola from Google. Offering an ecosystem of PCs, tablets and smartphones to carriers and corporates, Motorola-Lenovo is now a “one stop shop” for mobile and portable devices that can credibly challenge Samsung, Apple and others. More analysis of this major strategic shift in the industry can be viewed by clients here.