Mobile phone applications processors power today's smartphone apps and increasingly phones are promoted as packing "1GHz processors" or even "dual-cores".

Last week we published our smartphone applications processor market share data and by our estimates global applications processor revenue reached $1.84 billion in 1H 2010, up 60 percent over the same period the prior year, primarily thanks to the growth in smartphones. The increase in the smartphone market is real and it has been reflected in silicon vendors' revenues and shipments as many players are re-positioning themselves to tap into this growth. The battle between the baseband-integrated applications processor vendors and stand-alone applications processor vendors continues to fragment the market.

Here are some top-level insights from our quarterly smartphone applications processor market share tracker for 1H 2010:

• In just three years, the market for stand-alone apps processors has shrunk from around 72 percent of the total apps processor market to just 32 percent in unit terms in 1H 2010.

• Qualcomm led the overall smartphone applications processor market with 35 percent revenue share, thanks to its early-mover advantage in the Android ecosystem. Qualcomm's integrated applications processors, which combine advanced air interface technology and applications processing capability, are increasingly gaining acceptance in the smartphone market. Qualcomm's smartphone applications processor unit shipment share increased from just 3 percent in 2007 to 19 percent in 1H 2010.

• Texas Instruments (TI) led the market in unit terms with the help of its legacy Nokia relationship. TI ranked number two in the stand-alone applications processor category with 24 percent revenue share. We believe much of the TI's future growth depends on the traction for its OMAP4 series applications processors and it may prove difficult for the company if it fails to line up big customers for its OMAP4 series processors in 2011.

• Samsung's relationships with Apple and Samsung helped the company to reach number one in stand-alone category and number three overall in the smartphone apps processor market in revenue terms. Samsung is set to continue its momentum into 2011 with the help of Apple and Samsung.

• Marvell ranked number four in both revenue terms and unit shipment terms on the strength of its relationship with RIM. Marvell's ARMADA 618 / 628 high-performance processors are expected to be adopted by RIM for its smartphone and tablet products in 2011.

• Qualcomm, Texas Instruments, Samsung, Marvell, Renesas and ST-Ericsson together accounted for 98 percent of total smartphone applications processor unit shipments in 1H 2010.

Looking forward, we expect new players such as NVIDIA, Intel, Broadcom and MediaTek to attack the high-growth smartphone market with focused efforts in 2011. We also expect the stand-alone applications processor vendors to fight back with high-performance dual-core processors in 2011 which could potentially increase their value share in 2011.

- Sravan Kundojjala

We have just finished up our Q4 2009 update to our baseband market share model. This gives us full year 2009 market share as well. It's the combined work of myself, Chris Taylor and Stuart Robinson with support from our wireless service colleagues. Cellular baseband market revenues reached $11.04 billion in 2009, down about 0.7% from 2008. In 2009, the cellular baseband market faced ASP challenges due to the global economic recession and increased competition in the market.

Here are some highlights based on the data from Strategy Analytics Baseband Quarterly Metrics service module:

* Qualcomm led the the market with close to 40% share of total global baseband revenues in 2009. Qualcomm improved its revenue share in both the CDMA and W-CDMA markets.

* Despite being absent in the important W-CDMA market, MediaTek managed second position in terms of baseband revenue share in 2009. Strategy Analytics estimates that the W-CDMA market represented close to one third of total cellular baseband revenues in 2009. MediaTek is expected to take a minor W-CDMA share in 2010 with its new W-CDMA baseband processor, MT6268.

* ST-Ericsson had a difficult year in 2009 as the company continued to restructure its product lines and also lost share at its important tier-1 handset OEM customers. TD-SCDMA was the only bright spot for ST-Ericsson.

* Both Infineon and Broadcom benefitted from multi-sourcing strategies at tier-1 handset OEMs which significantly improved their baseband revenues in 2009. Both companies are expected to make further gains in 2010 by expanding at their respective customers.

* Marvell had just 1.4% share of baseband revenues in 2009 but is expected to play an important role in the Chinese TD-SCDMA baseband market with its highly integrated TD-SCDMA baseband processor, Pantheon 920.

Strategy Analytics provisionally estimates that total global cellular baseband revenues reached $2.8 billion in Q1 2010. Looking forward to the end of 2010, new radio technologies (LTE, TD-SCDMA), multi-sourcing strategies and mobile broadband will provide growth opportunities for baseband processor vendors.

- Sravan Kundojjala

The handset chip market has gone through some rapid changes over the past 3 years and only a handful of the remaining players have long-term viability and sustainable profitability. We estimate that the total cellular baseband revenues in 2008 were $11.15 billion and $11.04 billion in 2009 (provisional).

Some of the highlights of Strategy Analytics' Quarterly Baseband Share Tracker for Q3 2009,

* Qualcomm was the market leader with 38 % revenue share and 19 % unit share;

* MediaTek was second only to Qualcomm in terms of unit and revenue share;

* Broadcom and Infineon are improving market share and expanding at their respective key customers. We estimate Broadcom's cellular baseband revenues grew 350 % in 2009. However, Broadcom is still a minor player in the cellular baseband market but is expected to be an important player in 2010;

* ST-Ericsson ranked fourth with close to 10 % baseband revenue market share;

* Texas Instruments' baseband revenues were down almost 33 % on a Y-o-Y basis in Q3 2009.

With Texas Instruments and Freescale exiting from the cellular baseband market, Strategy Analytics believes that Qualcomm, ST-Ericsson, MediaTek, Infineon and Broadcom are well positioned to remain long-term players. However, new entrants are likely to appear as demand increases for LTE and TD-SCDMA chips.

- Sravan Kundojjala

What would you do with $888 million?

• Expand your manufacturing capacity?
• Acquire a competitor?
• Enable the solid-state lighting revolution by moving up the supply chain?
• Shore up for an expensive legal battle?
• All of the above?

Such are the options for Cree. The North Carolina company, whose GaN LED chips are selling like very hot cakes indeed, has just posted record quarterly revenues and a pre-tax income of $28.4 million. That merely added to the company’s already swollen coffers, thanks to its September stock offering.

Cree sold 11 million shares at $35.50, doubling its cash balance at a stroke. As much as $900 million will soon be burning a sizeable hole in its pocket.

As Cree tries to keep up with the demand for its high-performance chips, the company needs to seriously expand its manufacturing capacity. It has earmarked up to $165 million to make significant additions to LED production and component packaging facilities. But even that expansion will still leave some $750 million in Cree’s war chest.

With a history of acquisitions, Cree could be scouring the corporate landscape for the kind of company that will help it kick on to another level. Another chip maker perhaps? Cree CEO Chuck Swoboda suggests a different tack entirely. With no obvious gaps in its stable of products (unless you count AlInGaP LEDs), he is looking for a deal that will catalyze the LED lighting revolution, rather than merely service it, thereby enabling the market for Cree’s customers, and their need for LED chips.

There is another reason why Cree might need that pile of cash. As one of the only companies to decline a settlement with the octogenarian academic Professor Gertrude Neumark Rothschild, its lawyers are probably preparing to do battle over key patents relating to GaN chips. These battles can be very expensive and Cree will want to make sure that it has the means to win the case, or at least afford any settlement agreement.

Strategy Analytics’ Strategic Technologies Practice releases regular insights and reports on the compound semiconductor industry, covering GaAs RF, GaN, LED and laser diode technologies and more. To find out more click  --->> HERE

Asif Anwar

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