We have become aware that our Apps Processor market share numbers have been challenged and that prompts us to explain our methodology and to give more details on this specific question regarding Marvell versus MediaTek.

Firstly, Strategy Analytics has a rigorous top-down and bottom-up methodology to measure the mobile processor markets. With our extensive apps processor methodology, we can account for every single smartphone apps processor ever shipped and every single dollar ever earned by mobile processor companies. We source the smartphone device shipment data from our “best-in-class” Wireless Smartphone Strategies (WSS) service. Also, we look at every single smartphone’s apps processor supplier using our popular SpecTRAX database service. Using these comprehensive inputs from our device research service teams, we built an extensive quarterly mobile processor tracker models, which are well received by our clients for their granularity and attention to details. In addition, we regularly check our numbers with leading mobile processor vendors in the industry.

The commentator asserted that Strategy Analytics “totally missed” Marvell which is unfounded. We are one of the first research firms to report Marvell’s TD-SCDMA smartphone growth (see our Q1 2012 PR and tracker report). We wrote the following at that time. “Marvell’s strong TD-SCDMA smartphone applications processor shipments at China Mobile were not sufficient to offset its declining shipments at Research in Motion. As a result, Marvell dropped out of the top-five.” Marvell's TD-SCDMA customers include RIM, Sony Ericsson, Samsung, Motorola, LG, ZTE, Huawei and Hisense. We are well aware of Marvell’s momentum in the Chinese TD-SCDMA smartphone market.

We estimate that Marvell’s smartphone apps processor shipment declined 26 percent Y/Y in 1H 2012. Marvell’s shipments to RIM declined 55.2 percent Y/Y in 1H 2012 while its shipments to non-RIM customers increased 44.9 percent in the same period. Please also note that Marvell is not the sole apps processor supplier to RIM.

The commentator also disputed our apps processor estimates for MediaTek. With our extensive OEM and chipset vendor relationship matrix we can account for the significant number of shipments for MediaTek in 1H 2012. Please note that MediaTek also participates in non-China smartphone markets such as Africa, Eastern Europe, India and Latin America. We are also aware that not all MediaTek’s apps processor shipments are 3G (UMTS / TD-SCDMA). MediaTek’s EDGE smartphone processor MT6516 is also popular in sub-$100 Android smartphones in emerging markets.

We are as keen as anybody when it comes to observing and tracking mobile processor markets. We always keep our ears to the ground and capture every single signal coming from primary sources. We are confident in our methodologies and numbers.

Sravan Kundojjala

Last week we published our smartphone applications processor market share estimates for 2010. By our estimates, the smartphone applications processor market showed an impressive 77 year-over-year revenue growth in 2010 to reach $4.52 billion. Baseband-integrated applications processors accounted for 74 percent of total apps processor revenue in 2010 and we think it will remain relatively stable in the next few years.

Here are some highlights of our smartphone applications processor market share tracker 2010 report:

• Qualcomm led the smartphone applications processor market in 2010 with 41 percent revenue share on the strength of its strong participation in the multiple software ecosystems and its broad range of integrated processors. Qualcomm’s Snapdragon processors MSM8x50 and MSM7x30 gained good traction in the second half of 2010 and featured in multiple popular smartphones. We note that Qualcomm had over 50 percent revenue share lead over its nearest competitor Texas Instruments (TI). We believe that Qualcomm has a two-to-three year advantage over most of its competitors in terms of integration and is well positioned to move further ahead of its competitors with its upcoming MSM8960 LTE apps processor.

• TI ranked number two with 27 percent revenue share in 2010 despite topped the unit shipment rankings. TI’s stand-alone apps processor unit shipment share declined to 20 percent in 2010, by our estimates. We think TI's unit shipment leadership will be challenged by Qualcomm and Samsung in 2010.

• Samsung finished with 19 percent revenue share in 2010 and its unit shipments doubled on a year-over-year basis. Samsung's 1GHz Cortex-A8 Hummingbird apps processors featured in high-volume products such as Samsung Galaxy S, Wave and Wave II.

•  Marvell ranked number four in revenue terms but the company's over-dependency on a single customer is a cause for concern.

With over ten vendors already announced 1GHz dual-core Cortex-A9 processors, we expect 2011 to be highly competitive and ARM-based applications processor vendors should build competitive barriers by investing in graphics processing technologies, integration, micro architecture, multi-core processors, semiconductor process technologies and software expertise as the entry barrier is relatively low for new vendors to enter into the ARM-based ecosystem compared to the x86 chip ecosystem.

Client reading: Smartphone Apps Processor Market Share: Qualcomm’s Revenue Share Reached 41 Percent in 2010