Connected Home Devices

No other vendor offers the combination of timely, consistent and accurate tracking of 22 different product categories spanning audio, video and computing,

January 8, 2011 16:01 dmercer

Kent Displays is not a name which will immediately bring recognition to consumer electronics industry veterans, but it’s one to watch out for. The company, based in Kent, Ohio, makes a unique and patented variant of LCD displays, Reflex™, and after many years of trying different professional applications finally came out with its consumer-oriented Boogie Board towards the end of 2010. According to CEO Albert Green, the company’s initial sales projections of “a few thousand” were vastly exceeded, with several hundred thousand sold in the run up to Christmas. Boogie Boards were available at $39.99 in Brookstone stores if you were lucky enough to find one. Sales will exceed one million this year. What are they? Basically they are small, very light, notepads, and require no power to retain the image since they use reflected light. The image can be erased instantly and this function requires a small 3V watch battery. The writing experience truly is very similar to paper, in fact in many ways it is much better. When the company adds local storage in future iterations, this will become a powerful, simple, low cost and easy-to-use notepad which could synch directly to a PC or smart device for further processing. I can’t wait to get my hands on one before next year’s CES. David Mercer


January 8, 2011 15:01 dmercer
A CEA Board member told me at a Thursday evening party that the body behind the International CES was thinking visitor numbers this year might be heading towards 170,000. Many regular visitors I’ve spoken to agree it has been busier at the Las Vegas Convention Center than they can ever imagine, even in the last peak year, 2008. And in spite of the increase in hotel capacity since then the story is that there are no rooms to be had at the inn. Rumours even abound of visitors having to sleep on the streets or wander the casinos all night without getting any sleep. OK, that last bit was made up, but it may not be far from the truth, perhaps through personal preference in a few oddball cases.  There’s a fine balance between creating the enviable perception of a “can’t miss” event and making the experience unbearable for everyone tempted by the hype. And from a personal perspective and an informal survey of passing name badges and cab and monorail lines, CES 2011 certainly seems to have attracted many folks for the first time. Many press events have been so busy that even pre-registrants have been turned away; as an example, the Samsung press conference was beyond a joke, with never-ending lines of people still waiting to enter the event after the doors had to be closed.   With all respect to some of the international press, I’m not sure that a correspondent from “Land Rover Monthly” should be getting the same priority and attention as those of us who live and breathe the “consumer electronics” industry 24/365. But then, the CEA’s job is to grow “its industry”, and if Land Rover buyers can now be classified as consumer electronics customers, all well and good. With the content and media industry here in force, as well as all manner of telecoms and cable service providers, alongside the traditional target audience (consumer electronics retailers), it would seem the CES’s “industry” has suddenly expanded beyond all recognition.  Don’t get me wrong: there has been a buzz about this event which has been missing the last few years, and we at Strategy Analytics have certainly had an excellent few days of meetings. But the longer in tooth amongst us will recall the Comdex saga of some years ago, when a leading international technology trade show collapsed under its own excessive weight. How much bigger can CES get before the same happens here? The LVCC will certainly not cope with many more people in January 2012, so something will have to be done about show floor capacity if it moves towards 200,000 visitors. A return to split Sands/LVCC show floors perhaps?  David Mercer

July 7, 2010 10:07 dmercer
Returning to temperate climes after my first “summer” visit to Las Vegas, I am more amazed than ever at Nevada residents’ ability to withstand daily temperatures of 40 degrees plus and practically zero humidity. At least I now know what 108 Fahrenheit feels like. The contrast between this and a proper British summer (a few days of 25C followed by cool cloud and rain) could not be more stark. Las Vegas’ Mandalay Bay was the venue for Cisco’s annual customer gathering, which this year also brought together a hundred or so analysts for in-depth discussion of product and commercial strategy. The highlight product announcement was the Cius, as reported by my colleague, Susan Welsh de Grimaldo. While the company has not officially announced pricing, I expect it to be closer to $1000 than $500. Cisco is quite clear that the Cius is positioned as an enterprise solution, and these prices are likely to prevent much leakage towards “unofficial” consumer markets. What was most interesting, perhaps, is the genesis of the Cius within the Cisco organisation. It was obvious from many conversations that few people were aware of its development until very shortly before its unveiling. Even John Chambers himself claims to have been unaware of it until two months ago. If the product proves successful it will be further justification of Cisco’s innovation in organisation and management which allows dynamic cross-fertilisation of ideas across multiple teams. The other news centered on home energy management, where Cisco is launching a “Home Energy Controller” allied to Cisco Energy Management Services, which will be offered by utility companies to help consumers understand and control their energy consumption. The Controller uses Zigbee, WiFi and other home networking technologies to exchange data with and, potentially, control a variety of home devices. Much of our discussion with Cisco execs centered on the challenges and opportunities for service providers offered by OTT video, as well as the potential for telepresence in the home environment. Telepresence has a been a success for Cisco in the corporate market, and it is still on track to bring a consumer solution to the market by the end of 2010. It still strikes many people, both in the industry and consumers, as odd that Cisco should have a serious consumer strategy. While its brand presence is growing, not many would consider it as a competitor to the Sonys, Samsungs and Apples of the world. And there is no doubt that the company’s financial power is built on its core network switching and routing market dominance. Cisco does have key positions in home networking and set-top boxes, as well as the TV and broadband service provider space, but the jury is still out on whether Cisco itself will become an overall leader in consumer markets over the next decade. But consumer players cannot ignore Cisco as an influence on market direction. Its innovation processes, as demonstrated by Cius, will combine with its financial strength to create a wave of consumer innovations over the coming years. Many may fail, but it will only take a few to be successful for rivals to feel the heat. Client Reading: Chasing the Elusive IPTV Business Model: NDS, Cisco and Comcast to the Rescue? Add to Technorati Favorites

May 26, 2010 11:05 dmercer
Is it a sign of Trouble at’ Mill? Or just another corporate shake-up while business goes on as usual? Microsoft yesterday announced the departure of leading Entertainment and Devices executives Robbie Bach and J. Allard. Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer will take charge of the division, with Don Mattrick running the Xbox side and Andy Lees the mobile business. There are clearly problems for Microsoft in its mobile business. All the various iterations of its mobile phone software over the years have failed to make significant market impact as Apple and, now, Google, make the running. Microsoft’s biggest problem is that consumer is still a relatively small and fragmented part of its overall business. It’s losing out to Apple, and others, in the consumer market because its primary corporate focus continues to be business users of Windows. Apple, which, not through lack of effort, never achieved prominence in business markets, has been able to focus its strategy on the consumer space without the hindrance of adhering to a corporate software strategy. From Microsoft’s perspective it might seem logical to group Xbox, music players and mobile phones under one roof, but this makes less obvious sense to the outside world. Xbox has been successful largely because it has been left alone to formulate its own strategy focused on games, entertainment and the digital home. Dan Mattrick, whom I met last summer to discuss Xbox strategy, should now try to persuade Ballmer that the Xbox team needs to remain a discrete unit with liberty to forge its own direction, and if necessary outside of the demands of the corporate Windows strategy if necessary. With the launch of Natal imminent, the continued ramping up of online services based around the Xbox 360, and the plateauing of Xbox 360 sales, Microsoft can ill afford a dilution in focus because of this disruption to the senior management team. David Mercer Other Blog Posts Of Interest: PS3 Global Market Share Reached 31% in Q1 2010 Sony’s PS3 to Win Current Games Console Battle; SA Forecasts 47.5 Million Global Console Market in 2010 Sky Player Finally Arrives Where It Belongs, But Work Still to be Done TV or Videogame? 1 vs 100 on Xbox Live Offers Lifeline To Appointment Viewing Client Reading: Taming the Waves: Games Console Life Cycles and Platform Competition Add to Technorati Favorites

January 6, 2010 07:01 dmercer
The depth of the recession in the US consumer electronics market was highlighted today by CEA data which confirmed a decline in dollar revenues in 2009 of 12%. The outlook for 2010 improves but only in the sense that the rate of decline falls to 3%. In the meantime we're hearing news of new 3D TV channels already, with both ESPN and Discovery throwing their hats into the ring. This is great, if expected, news for the many 3D-ready TVs we expect to see over the next few days. At this evening's CES Unveiled event Sensio were showing their passive 3DTV, even though the company today announced its partnership with Visio to launch an active 3DTV later this year. Mitsubishi was also showing its laser 3DTV with the adaptor which will be necessary for compatibility with Blu-ray 3D players when they are lauinched. Logitech was showing its new Lapdesk N700, a laptop “cushion” with in-built speakers designed for enhanced laptop usage in the comfort of the armchair. The peripheral retails at $89.99 and also features an in-built cooling fan to prevent over-hearing, a familiar problem for those many TV viewers who now sit with a laptop on their knees. Logitech have thoughtfully added a grip to help keep the laptop steady, but unfortunately in my case it failed to prevent the Macpro falling to the floor. No damage done, luckily, but perhaps evidence of a need for further improvement in design. Logitech was also demonstrating the fruits of its recently closed acquisition of Lifesize Communications, a videoconferencing specialist. On display was its Passport set-top videoconferencing device. This retails at $2500 and allows anyone with a minimum 2-way 1Mbps broadband connection to communicate using HD video (720p). The service downscales to lower resolutions for slower bandwidth connections. Logitech claims that this device is a third of the price of any other similar product on the market. That may be true today but is unlikely to remain so for much longer. Videoconferencing and telepresence are shaping up to be one of the emerging trends of this CES and we will hear a lot more over the next few days, in addition to the Skype/Panasonic/LG announcement today. Yet another OTT video set-top box was being demonstrated by Syabas with its Popbox product. This grew out of the company’s Popcorn Hour device. The Popbox has been designed to be especially user-friendly, and the user interface does appear attractive and accessible. The service integrates currently 20 “content application channels”, which means things like Netflix, and is working with 200 application developers. It will launch in March 2010 and retail at $129, plus $20 for the optional WiFi module. The Popbox is 1080p-capable, although the only 1080p content was demonstration material. If Syabas manages to sign 1080p deals with content providers it will certainly be a step ahead of most competitors. ProVision CEO Steve Cliffe was confident enough in his company’s wireless HD technology to carry a laptop across the show floor while it streamed 1080i HD content, and there was no loss or deterioration in signal. This UK firm was founded by professors at Bristol University, and uses proprietary error correction and RF management techniques to improve HD video streaming over 802.11n. The company is talking to set-top box and TV manufacturers looking to support HD distribution to multiple home devices. Another UK firm, Imagination Technologies, was launching its Pure digital radio products for the US market. Pure is the leader in the UK but virtually unknown overseas. It will, rightly, tread carefully as it enters the notoriously challenging US market, and will obviously (since the standard is not used) drop DAB from its US product line-up, instead concentrating purely (sorry) on internet radio. Its Sensia product is the highlight of the range and features a full-colour touch screen LCD display as well as additional interactive capabilities like Twitter and Facebook. Pure confirmed to us that video-capable devices are a natural step forward and can be expected in the next year or so. Client Reading: HDTV: Standards Muddle Clouds Outlook For Wireless Displays Add to Technorati Favorites

October 1, 2009 09:10 dmercer
Cisco has agreed to acquire Tandberg, the videoconferencing specialist based in Norway, for around $3bn. Cisco has long targeted video conferencing, or telepresence, as a major growth opportunity, and also sees a mass consumer market for home telepresence solutions in the longer term. The Tandberg move will boost Cisco’s position in the global corporate telepresence market, which has been a growth segment in recent years, and not just because companies are cutting back on travel. Our main interest, of course, is the emergence of consumer telepresence solutions and other emerging media businesses. Cisco states that it hopes the Tandberg group, which will become the Telepresence Technology Group within the Emerging Technologies Group at Cisco, will drive video innovation. We look forward to hearing how Tandberg will drive further innovation in the critical video element in Cisco’s strategy. Twitter: twitter.com/DavidMercer_SA Client Reading: Digital Media Devices Global Market Report Add to Technorati Favorites

September 16, 2009 15:09 dmercer
As the doors close on another IBC the general feeling is that things could have been a whole lot worse. The organisers have just confirmed attendance at 45,547, including exhibitors, which is 7% lower than 2008. If exhibitors are excluded the figure fell by only 5%. This is considerably “less bad” than pre-show predictions, which understandably were based on other major 2009 events where attendance had fallen by 20% or more. Certainly the feeling walking the show floors was that it was just as easy, literally, to “bump” into old colleagues as in previous years. More importantly, feedback from exhibitors was generally positive. As our own research indicates, the full year outcome for the broadcast and professional media sector in 2009 is expected to be an overall 14% decline in sales. Even with a stabilisation at this stage there is nothing much that can be done to offset the severe downturn which began late last year and continued into the first half of 09. But it does now seem as though we have hit the bottom, and as several exhibitors pointed out to us, deals are being signed and customers continue to plan for the future. It may not be a comfortable economy just yet, but life goes on. Overall we are expecting this to translate to an upturn of nearly 5% sales growth in 2010. Client Reading: Media Storage Offers Hope During Economic Gloom Add to Technorati Favorites

April 9, 2009 15:04 dmercer
Much of the commentary around Cisco’s push into consumer devices has focused on its wireless audio system, home media hub and, most recently, the newly acquired Flip Video business. But as we discuss in our new report published today - Cisco's Consumer Strategy: Will the Network Transform the Digital Home?  – the company’s long term success is likely to depend as much, if not more, on the less high profile media strategy as on its forays into consumer electronics. Cisco’s Media Solutions Group (MSG) was formed more than two years ago but only came out into the open at the beginning of this year. Its objective is to sell the benefits of network-based internet media delivery platforms to content owners. It claims to save content owners from a great deal of the pain usually associated with establishing and maintaining content-focused websites. Critically, it also intends to be synergetic with Cisco’s consumer devices so that problems associated with content re-purposing and re-formatting across multiple devices, something which is a real cost concern to media companies, can be minimised. MSG’s core offer is the Eos platform, and you can see it in action at allseanpaul.com. Our report finds that Cisco has a good opportunity of reaching annual revenues from consumer activities that will put the company in a league similar to some of today’s leading technology brands. It will surprise some that the company already does business in the region of $4bn in consumer related sectors through its set-top box and home networking operations. With a substantial cash pile to support further acquisitions, and with the rest of the consumer electronics industry suffering from the global economic turmoil, it is much too soon to write off Cisco’s chances of sustaining an assault on the market leaders over the coming years. Twitter: twitter.com/DavidMercer_SA Client Reading: Cisco's Consumer Strategy: Will the Network Transform the Digital Home? Add to Technorati Favorites Buzz up!vote now submit to reddit

April 7, 2009 14:04 dmercer
Strategy Analytics today announces a partnership with D. I. S. Consulting Corporation to offer industry research and advisory services in media technology, distribution, production and content management industries. D. I. S. Consulting is the global leader in research and consulting to the professional media production and broadcast industries. Doug Sheer, DIS’s CEO, is an industry veteran with a background in the creative industry (as camera person, editor, graphics designer, and animator) as well as research and consulting. One of his claims to fame is to have shared an Oscar (with Dan Perri Productions) for motion picture titles for “The Exorcist”. He currently serves as Chair of the New York Section of the SMPTE (Society of Motion Picture & Television Engineers), and founded and chairs Artists Talk On Art, one of the longest running arts discussion forums in the US. Strategy Analytics will combine its existing leadership in consumer media and technology markets with DIS’s expertise in media production and technologies at a time when the traditional broadcast and professional industry is going through a period of some turmoil. The economic downturn hit vendors like a tidal wave in Q4 last year, and companies are in urgent need of clarity and direction as they re-group in preparation for the hoped-for upturn. Apart from the economy, the transition to internet media is also looming in the background. While no one is pretending that the broadcast sector will die a rapid death, neither can it afford to ignore the potential impact of web-based media consumption on traditional industries. We are excited to be working with Doug and his team to assess the scale of these challenges and to help the industry prepare for the opportunities that lie ahead. Twitter: twitter.com/DavidMercer_SA Add to Technorati Favorites submit to reddit

March 23, 2009 18:03 dmercer
I just came off a call with Bob McIntyre, CTO of Cisco’s Service Provider Video Technology Group (formerly Scientific Atlanta). Bob was introducing Cisco’s approach to media networks (medianets) for cable providers. What disturbed me was McIntyre’s reference to the BBC’s iPlayer, as implemented on Virgin Media’s UK cable network, as an example of successful hybrid network DVR/VOD solutions. Not that the iPlayer has not been successful, which of course it has. But McIntyre seems to have misunderstood some of the fundamental dynamics of media business models in the UK market, because he suggested that the BBC “gets the benefit of advertising” by making seven days of its programmes available on demand. This is clearly some way off the mark: within the UK, the BBC is not permitted to run advertising alongside its TV programmes. Which begs the question: what actually is the answer to the question McIntyre was trying to address, namely, what is the motivation for programme owners and broadcasters to make their content available on demand? The answer, in the BBC’s case, is that it is obliged to make its programmes available across multiple platforms and multiple models, because of its responsibilities as the UK’s leading public service broadcaster. It has no commercial interest in doing this, beyond increasing eyeballs, but that doesn’t directly affect its core revenue base, the television licence fee, which is mandated by the UK government. With all respect to the great technology firms, such as Scientific Atlanta, which have helped to create the cable industry, it never ceases to amaze me how the economics of broadcasting in the UK and Europe are misunderstood by US observers. They frequently cite the BBC’s activities of evidence of market success. Please, please, please remember: the BBC does lots of wonderful things, but many would not survive in a purely commercial market environment. (But I still think iPlayer is fantastic.) Twitter: twitter.com/DavidMercer_SA Client Reading: Digital Media Predictions for 2009 Add to Technorati Favorites submit to reddit