On June 4th, KPIT Cummins and Bharat Forge announced the formation of a joint venture to offer the REVOLO hybrid powertrain system to the Indian aftermarket.  Strategy Analytics has analyzed the sales potential of this system.

• KPIT Cummins are specialists in product engineering design and is one of the world’s leading automotive software developers.
• Bharat Forge is a division of the Kalyani Group, a leading manufacturer of engine and chassis components. 
• Both companies are based in India and have considerable operations in both their home and export markets.

The REVOLO system is a parallel hybrid solution that can be installed to the crankshaft of the internal combustion engine by an aftermarket dealer, in a minimum of four hours.  It can even be installed to engines that do not have an Engine Management System (EMS) and engines fuelled by carburetors.  REVOLO is a mild hybrid system with a small 15-22 hp (11-16 kW) AC induction motor-generator and so it cannot propel the vehicle on electric power alone, but offers torque assist, brake regeneration and engine stop-start.  Its simplified design minimizes the need to make modifications to the host vehicle, just requiring the addition of a small battery pack and various sensors.  The battery can either be a low-cost valve-regulated lead acid or a lithium-ion version, both capable of recharging from an external power supply. 

• REVOLO is being retailed at Rs. 65,000-145,000 (US$1,380-3,090) fully fitted.
• Some 11 patents have been filed for this system.
• The system, fitted to vehicles equipped with an 800 cc gasoline engine, an 800 cc diesel engine and a 1.4-liter gasoline engine, was tested by the Automotive Research Association of India (ARAI).  It confirmed that the REVOLO system enhanced fuel efficiency by more than 40 percent. Furthermore, under city driving conditions the increase in efficiency had exceeded 60 percent and that reduction in Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions had exceeded 30 percent.
• According to Ravi Pandit, Chiarmand and Group CEO of KPIT Cummins, “it will give vehicle owners the option of upgrading their vehicles to a higher level of fuel efficiency and performance, without the expense of having to buy a new one”.

For its initial launch, the sales potential for REVOLO is mainly positive.  Advantages for Indian deployment include:

• The relative ease in which this system can be retrofitted to any vehicle, with all electronics and software algorithms integrated into the module.
• The relatively low cost (when compared to other hybrid systems), thus lowering barrier to consumer acceptance and possibly enabling a faster return on investment.
• The increased level of efficiency, as confirmed by the ARAI tests.  Most driving by passenger cars in India is conducted on urban roads at low speed that would benefit from a stop-start system.  The same driving conditions may exist in other emerging markets.
• It could target deployment for vehicles that are the least efficient and most polluting currently on Indian roads – namely those not benefitting from electronic powertrain control and fuel injection.
• It negates the need for costlier new vehicle purchases (and thus ties-in with KPIT Cummins’ involvement in supporting used car sales and car servicing with CLICKSERVICESMILE.com).
• For vehicles with larger than 1.2-liters gasoline and 1.5-liters diesel engines, the hybrid system could also bring about a reduction in vehicle excise duty, reduced from 20 to 10 percent.

Concerns for REVOLO include:

• The system’s highest cost level (US$3,090), as the system may have to compete against purchases of entire, new less-polluting vehicles, such as the Tata Nano priced at around US$2,500.
• That in certain emerging markets, governments have stabilized fuel prices and so lengthens the payback period for owning a hybrid vehicle.

Depending on the success in the aftermarket, discussions with OEMs may lead to further success for REVOLO.  To see the latest Strategy Analytics forecast for OEM hybrid powertrain demand, please go to the Automotive Electronics System Demand Forecast 2008 to 2017: Main Data Tables. 

Strategy Analytics has recently updated its Advanced Entry and Start System Supply and Fitment Database.  It revealed increased interest for Passive-Entry-Go (PEG) systems in the emerging markets, in particular from Chinese car makers following model launches at the 2010 Auto China (Beijing) show.  The updated Advanced Entry and Start System Supply and Fitment Database is now available from the Strategy Analytics website.  The new entrants in the Advanced Entry and Start System Supply and Fitment Database include various new models launched at the 2010 Auto China show.

• BYD’s new models have been deployed with PEG systems.  They include the electric minivan E6 now being offered to fleets, and the gasoline-driven G3 compact sedan.
• Geely also announced on May 02, 2010, that its new Emgrand EC8 mid-size sedan, among its new model line-up, will come with a PEG system.

Furthermore, joint venture car makers linked to global OEMs are also offering PEG systems, as well as other electronic systems.

• The deployment is not confined to high segment models like the Buick LaCrosse luxury sedan, but also the compact segments such as the Chevrolet Cruze.  Both models are assembled in China by Shanghai-GM.
• The Chevrolet Cruze is also being assembled in India and Korea by General Motors.  The PEG feature will also be offered to these markets, thus enabling a greater spread for PEG systems.

This strategy is in contrast to previous models assembled and sold in emerging markets, namely to reduce specifications in order to be more affordable.  The average Chinese consumer is not only more discerning than before, but has a higher disposable income and greater willingness to purchase vehicles with more features.  Recent information on the Chinese automotive market is available from the following Strategy Analytics reports,  Chinese OEMs: Rapid Advance In Quality Bodes Well For Automotive Electronics and Chinese OEMs Fast Catching Up On Powertrains.  Further updates in the Database include more car models assembled in Korea with PEG systems fitted.

• Renault Samsung Motors has PEG on its models, based on common platforms with the Renault Laguna and Nissan Teana.
• New models from the Hyundai-Kia group with PEG systems include the YF generation (MY 2010) Hyundai Sonata being assembled in Korea and in the United States.

Penetration rates and demand levels of PEG systems by region, and other types of entry systems, is available from the Strategy Analytics Automotive Electronics System Demand Forecast 2008 to 2017: Main Data Tables.  Finally, Delphi launched its new key fob in April 27, 2010 at the 2010 SAE World Congress.  It boasts two-way communication to approximately 1 kilometer (3,333 feet).  Using Bluetooth connectivity with the driver’s mobile handset, much of the vehicle’s systems can be controlled remotely through applications downloaded on to the mobile handset.  Near Field Communication (NFC) enables similar functionality for the European market.  Delphi’s new two-way communication fob can enable the driver to:

• Discretely locate the vehicle, with additional GPS support if beyond the 1 km RF range.
• Remote readings of vehicle diagnostics and thus provide warnings should the vehicle need servicing or repair.
• Remotely control infotainment systems prior to entering the vehicle, such as selecting radio channels.
• Remotely control operation of the doors, seat positions, sunroof and windows.
• Remotely start the HVAC system, to cool or to warm up the cabin, with temperature read-outs.
• Remotely start the engine to defrost windows and windshields.
• Warn of doors being left unlocked, and of the sunroof and windows being left unclosed.
• Warn of intruders either in the cabin or in the near vicinity of the vehicle through exterior and security cameras fitted to the vehicle.
• Warn of low fuel levels and low tire pressures, as well as electric vehicle support.

Further information on PEG systems is available from the Strategy Analytics report, Vehicle Entry and Go: Passive Systems Set To Challenge RKE, while information on the Delphi fob is available from the Strategy Analytics Automotive Blog, Delphi Smart Key Fob Enables App Access Without Subscription.  Model availability for PEG systems is beginning to expand beyond the mature markets and beyond the luxury segments.  This could lead to greater volume demand and result in lower cost and widespread demand for Passive Entry systems. 

• At present, the higher costs in purchasing PEG systems over the standard Remote Keyless Entry (RKE) systems has precluded widespread uptake from consumers.

As for two-way communication fobs, this is yet another functionality where the mobile handset has made in-roads into the automotive space.  Development of these systems has only just started, but in the future such systems will surely make an impact on the automotive industry.  Further information on mobile phones in the automotive space is available from the Strategy Analytics Automotive Blog, including articles such as InkaNet – Mobile-Based Infotainment Comes To Chinese Autos.